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Capstone Trading

Trading System Signals on 12/06/2023

The 250K Portfolio (Portfolio 49) captured +$1,957.50 on the day in hypothetical trade signals for a total hypothetical profit of about +$1,200 on the week. The stock index strategies had early losses on the long side and flipped to the short side. The market is due for a short cycle. Overall Crude Oil was the most profitable market capturing a gain of +$1,495 on the short side. Silver was up +$975 on one trade. Gold was down -$825. Nasdaq was up only $500 while the S&P strategies were down -187.50.


The Stock Index Portfolio 27 E-mini was up $937.50 on the day while a gain of $437.50 on the S&P and a gain of $500 on the Nasdaq. 


The Stock Index Portfolio 27 Micro was up $53 on the day with a trade on Robot 2024 showing on the Micros that did not show on the E-minis. All other trades were the same.


The market has been unreasonable in its uptrend, not giving up any real pullback as VIX moves lower and lower. Today, the market moved in a way that could indicate some short-term selling. The VIX still closed below 13 though.


It has provided a positive feedback loop for our strategies to continue to profit and make hypothetical equity peaks while we wait for a losing streak to start in order to reduce account volatility.


Adjusting for extreme changes in volatility in algorithmic trading is part of the process. Some interesting data from Bespoke Investment. "In the Russell 2000's history since 1978 there have only been 16 other times that it went from oversold extreme to overbought extreme in 30 trading days or less."




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