A few days agao, I went into "the zone", (research mode) and opened up the Portfolio Calculator for All Strategy Access Portfolio. I wanted to create a short list based on the strategies we have used, without including any of the new strategies.
It is easy to be skeptical of brand new strategies.
I quickly cut the strategies I like the least for 2021 and kept the strategies I liked the most. Some of the strategies I kept haven't performed that well in 2020 but I still like them for 2021 based on anticipated market conditions.
The list was narrowed to the Top 51. The drawdown curve is very uniform and cyclical with quick recoveries with a max drawdown of only 17k.
The return over drawdown is 12:1
The first day of December, shows a loss of around 5k. If you paused trading and are waiting for a low risk entry, one of the best ways is to start again is to wait for a portfolio like this and start on a drawdown. Stopping on a drawdown and starting a new portfolio at an equity peak will increase your risk.
This portfolio has rapid drawdowns with quick recoveries.
We continue to research the strategies in December and the conservative approach that is recommended is to wait to see positive performance in December and then start a new portfolio on a drawdown.