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Live Trading System Signals 04/29/2025

The market has turned a bear market bounce into a slow bull market trend so far this week. The after-hours is telling us a different story though with SMCI down -17.9% on some weak financials and taking NVDA and the Nasdaq 100 futures lower as well in the overnight session. The daily chart of the Nasdaq 100 looks extremely stretched to the upside, relative to recent price action. You don't hear the words overbought in an extended bear market rally nearly as much as you hear oversold after an extended sell off in a bull market.


The One Million MNS was up +0.25% today in live trading while the 250K Portfolio was up +$625. We cut back on position sizing to about 1/2 for today's trade.


V-Reversal, one of our best strategies for the better part of the last 12 months hit its 10th loser in a row today with some excess slippage on the first loss today. The equity curve is below and remains within the equity curve trend line. It has been a rapid and harsh drawdown. Anticipating some mean reversion higher in the trend line of the equity curve.



The hypothetical results for the portfolios are listed below with $25 round turn slippage and commission. 1/10th for the Micros.


+--------------------------------+----------------------+

| Portfolio | Combined Daily P/L |

|--------------------------------+----------------------|

| Sibilance NQ v24 1 E-mini $6,145.00

| Stock Index Portfolio 11 $390.00

| 50K Portfolio -$35.00

| EMINI NQ 2 System Portfolio -$1,800.00

| EMINI NQ 3 System Portfolio II -$2,625.00

| EMINI NQ 4 System Portfolio -$2,625.00

| EMINI NQ 5 System Portfolio -$3,550.00

+--------------------------------+----------------------+







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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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