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Trading System Signals on 02-06-2026
Friday's bounce in the stock market felt like a massive counter trend rally in a bear market. Bitcoin has been in a bear market. The Nasdaq 100 was down less than 7% from its recent highs but joined the crypto bounce, trying to make another V-bottom on the daily charts, racing right back to the middle of the multi-month range. The Diversified Portfolio 57 was up on the week trading only the Nasdaq strategies. Live trades are experiencing more than average slippage. Hypothetic
Capstone Trading
11 hours ago
Trading System Signals on 02-05-2026
The Nasdaq futures traded down to yesterday's low in the overnight session, signaling the over aggressive afternoon rally during yesterday's day session. The dip buyers spent the day propping the market up, but by the end of the day the market rolled over towards the early session lows with selling accelerating in the after hours. It was a very choppy session as the Nasdaq 100 settled well below the 25,000 level. Bitcoin continued its slide lower, while Silver was down over -
Capstone Trading
2 days ago
Trading System Signals on 02-04-2026
We have seen some range expansion after 12 noon the last two days in the Nasdaq. We are also seeing reversals back to the early session lows. The low today was at 12:51 pm EST at 24,783.50. The Nasdaq 100 futures then rallied until 3:01 pm EST to 25,123.75 for the afternoon high (not counting after hours), getting back to the 10:04 am EST lows, posted in the first 34 minutes of the trading session. The Nasdaq posted a steady mean reversion rally of 340 points in 2 hours and 1
Capstone Trading
3 days ago


Trading System Signals on 02-03-2026
Tuesday's trade has some additional range expansion after 12 noon that was more than what we had been observing in December and January. The market did rally back at the end of the day so that the futures 4:00 pm EST close for the Nasdaq futures was about 25 points from the lows in the first hour of the day session. The low was at 2:09 pm and rallied about 220 points into the close. The early trade on Wednesday has already broken through the lows of yesterday and it will be i
Capstone Trading
3 days ago


Trading System Signals on 02-02-2026
The easiest trade on Monday was to simply buy the NQ at the open and sell 50 minutes later at 10:20. The NQ futures high at 10:21 was 25,912.25 and the afternoon high was 25949.50. The market mostly chopped around after 10:20 with only a 37.25 point extension in the afternoon with some fast and sharp pullbacks. We published this research yesterday on how the afternoon extension of range has been at its lowest levels December 2025 - January 2026 since August 2021. After the ma
Capstone Trading
4 days ago


Trading System Signals on 01-30-2026
The price action in January has been both interesting and insightful. On one hand, when prices continue to test support and can't break through, the anticipation is for higher prices. On the other hand, the extreme number of reversals, the lack of follow through to the upside on long trades with deep stop running price action has been a form of volatility not reflected in the VIX. Volatility and unusual price action can be an indicator of a change in trend. This price action
Capstone Trading
Jan 30


Trading System Signals on 01-29-2026 Drawdown Entry Alert
Market theory tells us that the longer the tension, the bigger the breakout. Today it felt like the start of one of one of those big moves in our favor. The stock market feels a bit broken from the perspective of such tight containment and constant recoils in spite of the headlines and the price action in many of the other markets. There seems to be an infinitely liquid source that continues to prop up the stock market. We have taken advantage of this many times with V-Revers
Capstone Trading
Jan 29
Trading System Signals on 01-28-2026 FOMC Day
On Monday and Tuesday, we closed small profits on net longs in the Nasdaq, only to see the market rally in the overnight session. The "go down to sideways" intra-day and up overnight pattern continues in spite of FOMC Day and big cap tech earnings. The stealth six-day bullish pattern almost hit all-time highs in the Nasdaq 100. The move at the end of the day in the Nasdaq reminded me of the move we saw in Silver on Monday where it dove for the lows of the session before rebou
Capstone Trading
Jan 28
Trading System Signals on 01-27-2026
The market continues to remain in a "wait state" with most of the gains in the overnight session but favorable moves on the long side in the stock indexes. The second half of the week will likely see more volume and range in the markets with FOMC tomorrow along with earnings after the bell. The hypothetical trading system signals for 01-27-2026: Diversified Portfolio 57 (NQ Only) = +$2740 Stock Index Portfolio 37 = +$2740 Stock Index Portfolio 18 = +$2740 Two System Portfolio
Capstone Trading
Jan 27
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