top of page

Live Trading System Signals on 01/16/2025

It was interesting to see the market wait until 3:50 pm EST for the real short trend to prevail in the stock indexes. From 3:50 pm - 4:25 pm EST, there was a 150 point sell off in the Nasdaq. Oftentimes this is a time period when there is buying. The fact that the "crowd" that buys the close was selling the close pretty good today, could have some follow through tomorrow and in the coming days. AAPL was down today almost 4%.


The highlight of the day was the V-Reversal NQ short. You can see how noisy the market is based on the signal and the numerous bounces that occur on short signals. It seems that every time we short the NQ this week, it wants to bounce 50 points first.



Intra-day the noise and sloppy price action continued again today. We can see the bounce back in the NQ to the "noise node" on January 8 but also into the downtrend line we displayed yesterday.



The One Million MNS was down -0.72% on the day or -$1,440 in the 250K Portfolio in live trading as we look for some clarity tomorrow before a holiday weekend with MLK on Monday. Tuesday, we have the inauguration. We have endured about 3 months of relentless noise since mid-October. We will continue to trade the One Million MNS 87 + 2 NQ ON and 3 MBT with the latest results below at the drawdown entry point. This portfolio was at equity peaks 10 calendar days ago (8 trading days) and has an average Drawdown Duration of about 12 trading days. The crypto strategies were the biggest loss on the day overall. I really like the potential in the new crypto strategies as they may become the new best market to trend intra-day on both the long and short sides.


The Stock Index Portfolio 24 hypothetical results were -$5,120 per E-mini and 1/10th of that per Micro, today hitting a worse case drawdown after a drawdown entry alert two days ago. We anticipate these worse case drawdowns and hold for a bounce. This portfolio includes more strategies and the relentless noise in the market continues. The older SI 18 continues to bounce around at a drawdown entry point and was up +1K today.


The spell of the election season trading has lasted three months and has been very emotional. With the inauguration on Tuesday, we are looking for more accumulation and distributions in the market which can generate more steady price action.


The hypothetical results for the Top 50 Select Portfolio was -$1,662.50


The hypothetical results for the 50K Portfolio was -$2,075.00


Commodity markets continue to trend higher. Here is the CRB index based on Wednesday's close.



42 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Live Trading System Signals on 02/13/2025

It took six days for the market to return to trade above last Friday's resistance levels. Its been a very choppy uptrend with spikey sell...

Comments


EXCLUSIVE MARKET AND STRATEGY UPDATES

 Capstone Trading Systems © 2024. All Rights Reserved.

​

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

​

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

bottom of page