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Live Trading System Signals on 04/08/2025

The stock indexes moved higher overnight and chased yesterday's fake news highs before rolling over to the low end of yesterday's price range to levels from which the market started its fake news rally (the Nasdaq surged 1700 points on this news event that was dismissed yesterday related to tariffs). I am surprised at how big the move is in the 30 Year Bond futures. It was at 122^05 on Sunday night and is in the 112 handle in the overnight session while the stock index futures are near their lows and down -1.5%


The VIX closed at 52.33. The swings in Precious Metals and Energies are very wide as well. The number of 1/3% zig zag moves was 69 today. We went and looked at the history of our CVIX indicator. It tied its highest level yesterday at 2.51 which was last seen in March 2020 and higher than the level reached during the Great Financial Crisis. The CVIX is the Capstone VIX indicator that measures pivot reversals intra-day based on percentage moves (instead of points) in relation to the VIX. The CVIX was developed during the Pandemic.


The One Million MNS was down about -0.4% while the 250K Portfolio was down about -$1,020 in live trading today. Sibilance NQ v24 was down about -9.8K on the day. We started during a drawdown intra-day which mitigated losses.


The hypothetical results for the portfolios were:

Portfolio Totals

+--------------------------------+----------------------+

| Portfolio | Combined Daily P/L |

|--------------------------------+----------------------|

| Sibilance NQ v24 (5 Micros) | -$9,800.00

| Stock Index Portfolio 11 | -$140.00

| 50K Portfolio | -$1,770.00

| EMINI NQ 2 System Portfolio | -$1,160.00

| EMINI NQ 3 System Portfolio II | -$1,160.00

| EMINI NQ 4 System Portfolio | -$830.00

| EMINI NQ 5 System Portfolio | -$2,910.00

| +--------------------------------+----------------------+


We dipped our toe in and there were some opportunities, but we were down overall today. V-Reversal got short near the highs (within 100 points - which is very close in this type of market) but was stopped out as it made new highs. The highs in the Nasdaq were only about 4 points from yesterday's highs while the S&P 500 took out yesterday's highs. Capturing that short rollover would have been the trade of the day as the Nasdaq 100 moved from a high of 18357.25 to a low of 16973.50 during the day session.


The Nasdaq 100 is down below 17,000 in the overnight session. Some were calling for Black Monday on Monday. We still have to be cautious and will monitor Automation Off or On each morning during this extremely high volatility and send out a message by 8 am CST/9 am EST.


Some of the more focused opportunities to capture the big moves for ranges that stick are in Open Range NQ, Gap Continuation NQ, and EVP-1 NQ. Open Range NQ had its 7th consecutive loser today.


On Thursday and Friday, we get CPI and PPI in the pre-market.


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