Live Trading System Signals on 05/07/2025

For many years we did not trade on FOMC Day. In 2024, we started to see favorable price action on FOMC and the data shows that the return/drawdown for our current portfolios is better on FOMC. Today, was more of anomaly. The price action was some of the wildest as there seems to be a tug of war in the news feed between a hawkish Fed and tariff resolution. There are a large percentage of fast moves in one direction that are constantly mean reverted. Mean reversion has always been a part of the market. The speed and frequency and percentage of mean reversion moves during the day has increased. There is a strong force ready to support the market and buy the dip so any perceived bearish news gets reversed. The Zig Zags accelerated in the afternoon.

The One Million MNS was down -1.85% on the day and the 250K Portfolio was down -$4,625.00. On April 23rd, when we were down -2.20% and recovered +1.80% the following day. We are down about -0.80% on the quarter after today's trade. We were ahead of our strategy on the month and had the opportunity to trade 2 E-minis per signal on Sibilance NQ v24. The hypotheticals were -2.1% per One Million MNS trading 2 E-minis per signal.

There was an unusual, nearly 300 point surge, in 9 minutes starting at 3:35 pm EST. It was based on another potential tariff announcement. We continue to get these surges that make short signals difficult lately. The constant bid is certainly back and some forms of QE are on the radar screen, such as the Feds Bond buying. These are forms of stimulus and while the Fed did not cut rates today and held a hawkish tone, there are other more stealth "tools" they use to create stimulus, that can "prop up" the market.

As earning seasons comes to an end, and post FOMC, and as we come to the end of the week in the first full week of the month, I anticipate favorable price action on Thursday and Friday, in the same way we bounced back April 24th through May 6th. I'm looking forward to tomorrow's trade. Often times we see big up days after big down days. April 24th was our best winning day of the year following the April 23rd down day.

The afterhours trade shows a smooth uptrend based on a White House news conference tomorrow at 10 am concerning tariffs.

V-Reversal took only one trade today and hit its profit target quickly on a short this morning. The short side has struggled but today the V-Reversal short did well and the Two System Portfolio was up on the day.

Gap Continuation 2019 had a nice short trade for 135 points while some of the other strategies were stopped out on the long and short side.

The hypothetical results for the portfolios are listed below with $25 round turn slippage and commission.

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| Portfolio | Combined Daily P/L |

|--------------------------------+----------------------|

| Sibilance NQ v24 (2 E-minis) -$20,980.00

| Stock Index Portfolio 11 -$9,365.00

| 50K Portfolio -$740.00

| EMINI NQ 2 System Portfolio $1,975.00

| EMINI NQ 3 System Portfolio II -$1,700.00

| EMINI NQ 4 System Portfolio -$1,700.00

| EMINI NQ 5 System Portfolio $2,925.00

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