Live Trading System Signals on 05/14/2025

In early April, April 7th to be exact, the Nasdaq 100 traded down to the December 31, 2023 closing price, taking back all the 2024 gains. By May 13th, the Nasdaq 100 returned to its 2024 closing price and traded through those prices the last two days. The 2024 gains were recovered in just 26 trading days. The speed of the recovery has been quick. When the market moves this far, this fast, there is typically a retracement around the corner. The all-time highs are only 1200 points away in the Nasdaq 100 and can also act as a magnet, pulling the market higher.

Today, the market did appear to run out of steam, at least technically, in the short term.

Tomorrow, Jerome Powell speaks and there are five economic reports released in the pre-market. It could be a catalyst for a pullback or reversal and could potentially stall this rally. Maybe it will surge again to all-time highs.

The economic reports are released at 8:30 am EST tomorrow (five total) while Jerome Powell speaks at 8:40 am EST tomorrow. PPI, an inflation report, is one of the economic reports being released at 8:30. There are whispers of hotter inflation and a potential rate hike. This could set the market back. Any hint of a rate hike during Powells speech could cast a spell on the bulls tomorrow.

This is probably why the market was in sideways, chop mode today. The VIX was up while the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and the 30 Year Yield were also up. It is a mixed combination.

The One Million MNS was down -1.7% while the 250K Portfolio was down -$4,250. It was a normal choppy day giving back some of the gains from yesterday.

The price action in May has been different in its overly persistent up trend. We see many bullish patterns with many consecutive up days but this market has had very little pullback. Today's price action was choppy in a narrow range as the Zig Zag Count was 7. When the market was selling off February through early April, there were many bounces and mean reversion patterns for long trades. With this rally, there are very few intra-day pullbacks to take advantage short trades in a strategy like V-Reversal.

The Two System NQ Portfolio with V-Reversal and Gap Continuation is in a -$14.2K drawdown out of -$21.4K worse case drawdown.

The hypothetical results for the Portfolios with $25 round turn slippage and commission is below.

+--------------------------------+----------------------+

| Portfolio | Combined Daily P/L |

|--------------------------------+----------------------|

Stock Index Portfolio 17 (1 NQ) -$5,065.00

Stock Index Portfolio 17 (3 NQ) -$15,195.00

50K Portfolio -$1,000.00

EMINI NQ 2 System Portfolio -$1,660.00

EMINI NQ 3 System Portfolio II $425.00

EMINI NQ 4 System Portfolio $425.00

EMINI NQ 5 System Portfolio -$3,410.00