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Trading System Signals on 01/05/2026

The online Portfolio Calculator has been updated through 01/05/2026 at the following link.



Volatility in the metals has been a major contributor to the recent drawdowns in Diversified Portfolio 57 and Silver 16. At the same time, that volatility has pushed both portfolios into “drawdown entry alert” territory—conditions that historically have tended to precede stronger forward opportunity sets.


When a market like Silver can double over a 2–4 month window, average daily dollar ranges typically expand materially. And even after a large directional move, consolidation does not necessarily mean “quiet.” In fact, range-bound, directionless trade following a surge can still produce wider intraday swings, creating a difficult environment for short-term systems. Win rates often compress as noise and reversals increase, but the tradeoff is that the same volatility can also enable outsized winners when a trend or counter-trend expansion finally emerges. Recently, we have mostly experienced the downside of that equation—fewer winners—while remaining positioned for the potential upside: a larger directional move that releases some of the pent-up energy in these intraday, range-bound metals markets.


One way to better align risk with rising volatility is through percentage-based stop losses. This approach allows risk parameters to expand as volatility increases, helping a strategy preserve its expected win/loss dynamics. Institutions typically achieve this by adjusting position size—scaling exposure down as volatility rises so that risk remains controlled even with wider stops. For individual traders running only a small number of contracts per strategy, that flexibility is more limited. Contract counts cannot always be reduced incrementally, and doubling stop distances to match a 100% increase in market value can push dollar risk beyond what most traders consider acceptable.


Important Notes for the Portfolio Calculator

-For the report on 01/02/2026, NQ Pulse did not show the second trade and the Cobra Crude 2024 trade was missing. Those have been corrected as of today. Making sure the new Portfolio Calculator is accurate can take more time each day in generating the daily report.


-When looking at the Daily Results in the new Portfolio Calculator, the first date that shows up is 01/06/2026, which shows some partial results for 01/06/2026.


-When viewing the Daily Results, make sure the current date is selected in case some of the next day's data has started to populate.


-Additionally, the Daily Results are fixed to the Portfolio settings and are not affected by filtering in the Performance Metrics and Portfolio Calculator.


Hypothetical Trading System Signals for January 5, 2026.






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