Trading System Signals on 02/21/2025
- Capstone Trading
- Feb 21
- 2 min read
After some very narrow ranges this week, the market became more tradeable on Thursday and Friday. I had anticipated the Nasdaq would move to new highs after yesterday's reversal and pre-market move to take out yesterday's session highs. It ended up being a Key Reversal Friday - similar to several we have seen this year. Will there be follow through on Sunday night and Monday? I will be watching BTCUSD over the weekend to get a sense for Sunday night's opening. The VIX spiked up to 18. The long periods of time where the VIX remain under 15 have been less frequent since July of 2024, yet the market remains elevated.
We go over the trades in the Stock Index Portfolio 10, One Million MNS 35 (Nasdaq strategies), and the Portfolio Money Management Algorithm setup for the One Million MNS 35 in the video below while the hypothetical signals for all portfolios are below.
The One Million MNS was around breakeven this week as we worked on synching up with some strategies but keeping risk minimal while waiting for a drawdown in the new portfolio setups discussed in the video. We have been through multiple revisions of portfolio adjustments. It is good to see some nice trades. It is a combination of strategy selection in the portfolio as well as some more fluid price action in the market. At this point we are encouraged to see some equity peaks and then to wait for a drawdown entry - especially on the Portfolio Money Management Algorithm version of the One Million MNS 35 NQ. The PMMA is something we revisited this week as it takes some time to set it up for each portfolio. The opportunity to go long and short the market on days like today make this one of our favorite ways to trade.
The Stock Index Portfolio 10 was released last week at equity peaks and the hypothetical results were +$13,520 today per E-mini and 1/10th of that per Micro to hit equity peaks once again. It is good to see an equity peak. We recommend waiting for a 12-15K per E-mini drawdown to enter either intra-day or end of day.
The Top 50 Select Portfolio hypothetical results were +$7,855.
The 50K Portfolio hypothetical results were +$3,732.50
The Two System NQ Portfolio hypothetical results were $0, no trades.
The Five System NQ Portfolio hypothetical results were -$725, with one Gap Continuation 2019 trade that was just stopped out at a cycle high.
The Russell 2000 is down over the last 4 years while tech/AI is in a bubble.
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