Trading System Signals on 02/28/2025

It was a prop and chop Friday after the indexes took out or traded near the low of the ranges since the election. Mention World War III from the Oval Office and the market is up on the day with a small bounce compared to the recent sell off.

This week we saw the fastest 5% drop from highs in the S&P 500 since 2020, taking only 6 days to drop 5%. It was still a small pullback relatively speaking and considering the market environment. While the liquidity isn't pushing the market higher, it seems to slow down and reduce the depth of pullbacks that we have seen in previous decades.

Monetary and fiscal stimulus has driven the markets higher for the better part of 16 years. Now what? The GDP report was surprisingly low today.

Also, there were some questionable footnotes in NVDA earnings that made the report look like a beat on the headlines, but maybe a disappointment in reality. We are technical futures traders, but NVDA is such a pivotal stock with a heavy weighting in the Nasdaq that we can't help but examine the one stock that could change the direction of the indexes.

V-Reversal NQ was one of the top trades on Friday.

EVP-1 was one of the top strategies on the week, capturing two big shorts on Thursday after a big short last Friday.

Overall, the markets have been wilder, noisier and more sporadic that we have typically seen for 4 1/2 months with an increase in reversals and fast price action while remaining in a multi-month range.

The hypothetical results for Sibilance NQ released today for live trade next week started up early, then dropped and was down about -6.3K and ended +7K on the day. This was for the setup that trades 27 Nasdaq strategies but takes no more than 8 net signals, trading 5 Micros per signal.

The One Million MNS and 250K Portfolio did not trade today on this last day of the month but will look to sync up with Sibilance NQ next week. We re-adjusted the strategy yesterday for some technical error and are only focusing on the 27 day trade strategies and excluding the overnight strategies. The gains this afternoon were much more today that we anticipated for Sibilance NQ. With two nice winning days in a row, we will wait for some adverse excursion on Monday to start.

The hypothetical results for the Stock Index Portfolio 10 was -$2,455 per E-mini and 1/10th per Micro and remains in a good drawdown entry alert.

The hypothetical results for the Top 50 Select Portfolio was +$850 while the Nasdaq strategies were up $4,325.

The hypothetical results for the 50K Portfolio was +$3,125 while the Nasdaq strategies were up $4,000.

The hypothetical results for the Two System NQ Portfolio was +$1,975

The hypothetical results for the Five System NQ Portfolio was +$1,975

Zig Zag 2023 with the $700 profit target was up $2400 on 12 trades this week while the Zig Zag 2023 with the $1200 profit target was up $2350 on 12 trades this week.

The most disappointing strategy of the week was AT 2022, getting stopped out on a short 2.75 points away from the swing high. A slightly larger stop loss and holding the position until 4pm EST (long exit time) instead of 2pm EST (short exit time) would be a difference of -$725 versus $11K+ on Thursdays trade. In this type of market, a 35 point ($700 per E-mini NQ) is certainly too small and we will examine the best way to re-adjust this and sync up.