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Trading System Signals on 03/04/2025

There were some massive one-minute bar ranges today in the stock indexes futures at the open. In the Nasdaq 100, there were some 100 point, one minute bars in the first half hour. It looked like a turn around Tuesday after the first hour of trading with a big move off the lows in the Nasdaq. After a steady rally of 650 points in about 5 hours in the Nasdaq 100 futures, at 3:25 pm EST the Nasdaq futures moved 408 points lower in 28 minutes. It was a smooth and steady sell off versus a news based rapid flash move that we have seen in the past months. There were several 100 - 150 point dips in 5 - 15 minutes were part of the routine steady five hour rally in the Nasdaq. 100 point moves in the Nasdaq can happen frequently within 1-5 minutes on days like today and isn't indicative of what will happen next. The VIX closed at 23.51.


Sibilance NQ was traded in the One Million MNS and 250K. It was around breakeven today in live trade. It was down about -0.6% in the morning and was on track to be up 0.7% on the day, going positive for the month. The end of day sell-off looked like a normal pullback at first but the market continued lower into the close.



The hypothetical results for the Stock Index Portfolio 10 was down -$3,735 per E-mini and 1/10th per Micro. The Chop II NEWS strategy yesterday helped to push us into a worse case drawdown today. We will not be trading the Chop II NEWS in this portfolio as this strategy won't signal trades the rest of this week. We are working on adjustments for this strategy.


The hypothetical results for the Top 50 Select Portfolio was up +5,790 today while the Nasdaq strategies were +$3,055.


The hypothetical results for the 50K Portfolio was -$710 on the day while the Nasdaq strategies in this portfolio were -$1,460. This portfolio also needs to be adjusted.


The Two System Portfolio NQ was +$690 with one loser and one winner on the V-Reversal NQ. This puts the V-Reversal NQ at equity peaks. V-Reversal continues to be a highlight in our trading.

The Five System Portfolio NQ was +$690 today as well taking the same trades at the Two System Portfolio NQ.

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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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