top of page
Search

Trading System Signals on 07/24/2025

The market continues to have a stealth and choppy rally. The VIX made a low of 14.95 today before bouncing up to 15.39. In the Nasdaq, we continue to see these mini parabolic moves that hit the highs followed by a quick retreat. It is strange to see so many weak breakouts in a turbulent but persistent rally with instant pullbacks on every breakout but without a large enough pullback to generate a reversal trade.


Nasdaq futures day session chart:

ree

The Nasdaq 100 is only about 1,734 points away from 25,000. On April 9th, the Nasdaq 100 closed about 2,028 points higher than its open. How long will it take to take to cover the same distance of a one day move when the market is down more than 10% on the year?


ree

The hypothetical results for today's trades are:

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = -$3,170

Two System Portfolio NQ = no trades


We increased contracts in our live trading today. Our live trading is down about -3.2% on the month after a gain of 4.3% last month trading the Stock Index Portfolio 18.


The price action lately seems to counter every trade since July 8th with an unusually low winning percentage. Its been tough to find a winning day lately. It certainly pushes the limits on my trading psychology. We are more concerned about P/L than we are winning percentage.


One trading day like we had on May 27 or on June 2 gets us near to breakeven on the month. We are now 5 trading days from the end of the month and our prime monthly window is down to 7 trading days.


The current drawdown in the Stock Index Portfolio 18 is 36,475 out of 36,955 historical as we go into Friday's trade.


This year we have seen a massive spike in volatility back to pandemic level ranges earlier this year and have now quickly returned to the summer of 2019 ranges from a different era.



Recent Posts

See All
Trading System Signals on 12-19-2025

The pattern in the stock indexes on Thursday and Friday along with the VIX suggests the market is going into holiday melt up mode, also known as the Santa Claus rally. On Wednesday, it looked like the

 
 
 

Comments

EXCLUSIVE MARKET AND STRATEGY UPDATES

 Capstone Trading Systems © 2025. All Rights Reserved.

​

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

​

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

bottom of page