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Trading System Signals on 07/25/2025

Next Thursday is the last trading day for July while August trade starts on Friday. There will be more tech earnings next week and FOMC on Wednesday. I anticipate the market will "wake up" next week. The market has yet to come back from the 4th of July holiday and the VIX closed below 15.


There was a small gain today in the Stock Index Portfolio 18 and no trades a second day in a row in the Two System Portfolio NQ which is highly unusual.


Hypothetical Results for Today's Trades:

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = $115 per E-mini

Two System Portfolio NQ = no trades


The VWAP Fade It Strategy has performed better than it ever has since May 1 while performing poorly for years while at the same time, the breakout of the VWAP bands has been a better trade historically but has not worked since May 1. The market has contracted more than usual since May 1, after the market reversed from its lows in April. The flip of the switch from high volatility in April back to 2019 volatility levels has been extremely abrupt.


If you have not downloaded the VWAP strategy E-book, you can get it on the homepage. The rapid change in market behavior has been extreme and helps quantify the current market environment. It is always interesting to determine why such a poorly performing pattern works so well all of a sudden.




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