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Trading System Signals on 08-19-2025

The market trended lower today after a choppy open and closed below the morning lows. In recent years, we have seen the market support the morning lows after morning sell offs or at least bounce back to those levels if, on rare occasion, it does trade below the morning lows. I think it is an overdone pattern of overly tight dip buying and that we could be due for some more two-sided price action.


One potential pattern this week is that we could see a sell off into Friday's Jackson Hole speech by Jerome Powell, followed by a rally after the speech if there is any indication of a rate cut.


It was a pretty trendy day today - which has become very rare.


Hypothetical Portfolio Performance:

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = +$7,190

Two System Portfolio NQ = -$1,275


Top strategy with 3 NQ contracts taking the short of the day:


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Today was a nice bounce in the Stock Index Portfolio 18 equity as we were near a worse case drawdown and we are moving into a more favorable time of the month. The last 14 months, the 21st through the second trading day of the following month has gone 14 for 14 in the Stock Index Portfolio 18. Past performance is not indicative of future results.




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