Trading System Signals on 08-29-2025 - Silver Surges for Diversified 57

Has the post–July 4th move in the stock indexes turned into a classic summer drift — light volume, grinding higher — that’s now taking the shape of a pseudo head-and-shoulders? (the futures show a head and shoulders while the cash index, chart above, does not)

On July 3rd, the Nasdaq-100 closed at 22,866.97. By August 29th, it was up about 550 points (≈2.35%). Back in March and April, that same 550-point swing was just another day at the office.

Are we seeing true resilience here, or just a fragile summer pattern setting up for the next decisive move? Was today's sell off on the last day of August a sign of things to come?

Hypothetical Trading System Portfolio Results

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = +$5,440

Two System Portfolio NQ = -$815

Diversified 57 = +$22,025 (as of 4:12 pm EST)

The Stock Index Portfolio 18 had a nice day. The force that continues to protect the morning lows limited the gains on the shorts. The "protect the morning lows" trade on gap downs is one of the most vulnerable trades in the next correction that I anticipate will "mean revert away" from this obtuse bias on down days. It is one of those days where the selling was incomplete and could spill over into September, as we enter one of the weakest seasons for the stock market.

The Diversified 57 includes the Stock Index Portfolio 18 plus 3 more NQ strategies and 15 more ES strategies along with Gold, Silver, Crude, and Micro Bitcoin (x10). Diversified 57 gains were strong with the rise in Silver and the Silver long trades. Additional selling in the Stock Indexes would have extended the gains.

We are entering one of the weakest periods of the year for the stock market. Will 2025 end the same way it began?

Monday is a holiday. Tuesday starts a new month of trade. The following matrix shows some of the latest portfolio setups.