Trading System Signals on 11-13-2025

The short trades that we had in the E-mini Nasdaq yesterday's day trade saw the follow through that we were looking for in the overnight session (after a brief pop from the government re-opening) and at the very beginning of the day today.

Today was one of those days where any sort of trend based signaling was traded against with many strategies stopped out on the day. Six strategies went short today and only one had a profitable short signal in the Diversified 57.

One pattern we see frequently is the gap down fast and reverse fast and then chop.

Another pattern we see is a choppy afternoon with the noon time lows protected. Between 3:00-3:15 pm CST, the Nasdaq 100 futures traded back to it's 12:00 CST noon range. I am always suspect of support at whole numbers. The Nasdaq futures made its lows at 25,002.50. Bitcoin traded below 100,000 today.

These are the type of patterns that challenge confirmation pattern trading systems which put us out of sync with the market today on those types of strategies.

Both patterns are anomalies of excess liquidity in the recent bull market that I anticipate will be mean reverted and "broken".

The opening reversal was a nice trade for V-Reversal and the Two System Portfolio NQ was up on the day.

We traded for this move lower yesterday and again at the open, both times on the short side. Its the caveat of day-trading and exiting at the end of the day. We continue to see the market ranges protected intra-day with the real trends at night. This is a pattern we saw from May - September. At the beginning of October, we started to see more intra-day trends and we are due for one this week as we enter the last trading day of the week tomorrow. The market moves in cycles and some of our more favorable days come after some of our least favorable days.

The strong move last Friday and into this Monday of over 1000 points in the Nasdaq off of the lows on Friday generated a bullish trend in the market. It was not a fast bear market bounce but a steady and stealth rally. Today, the chart looks like a topping pattern.

I am looking forward to tomorrow's trade.

Hypothetical Trading System Portfolio Signals and Results:

Two System Portfolio NQ = +$1,475

50K Portfolio = -$1,131.50 on Micros, or -$906 when mapping Minis to Micros

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = -$14,315

Stock Index Portfolio 37 = -$9,365

Diversified Portfolio 57 = -$14,600

Silver Portfolio = -$500