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Trading System Signals on 12-18-2025

The CPI news in the pre-market provided an initial "pop" in the stock indexes, and wild swings in the precious metals and crypto currencies. It felt similar to a surprise rate cut, followed by a muted and choppy response of "can we trust the data". The bulls will do anything to get the Santa Claus rally going and end the year with the stock indexes at all-time highs.


The most challenging markets on the day were the precious metals and Bitcoin futures. Bitcoin futures have been extremely wild the last two days.


The Silver Portfolio hit one of its biggest drawdown in a while at 17.7K out of 53.3K. A 25K drawdown would be a good drawdown entry alert.

The Diversified Portfolio 57 hit a rapid drawdown and a drawdown entry alert. It is in a 23.9K drawdown out of a max 39.4K drawdown based on an end of day basis. Some of the best days can follow some of the larger down days. The Diversified Portfolio 57 went on a five day +42K run from 12/9 -12/15 with the last three of those hitting equity peaks.


The Two System Portfolio NQ hit a new equity peak today.


Next week the stock market is opened for half a day on Wednesday and closed on Thursday for Christmas.


With only 7 full trading days left in 2025, there could be a lot of trading left.


Hypothetical Trading System Portfolio Signals and Results:

Two System Portfolio NQ = +$1,525

50K Portfolio = -$2,219.50 on Micros, or -$3,239 when mapping Minis to Micros

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = -$1,970

Stock Index Portfolio 37 = -$3,570

Diversified Portfolio 57 = -$17,740

Silver Portfolio = -$7,175

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