top of page
Search

Trading System Signals on 12-18-2025

The CPI news in the pre-market provided an initial "pop" in the stock indexes, and wild swings in the precious metals and crypto currencies. It felt similar to a surprise rate cut, followed by a muted and choppy response of "can we trust the data". The bulls will do anything to get the Santa Claus rally going and end the year with the stock indexes at all-time highs.


The most challenging markets on the day were the precious metals and Bitcoin futures. Bitcoin futures have been extremely wild the last two days.


The Silver Portfolio hit one of its biggest drawdown in a while at 17.7K out of 53.3K. A 25K drawdown would be a good drawdown entry alert.

The Diversified Portfolio 57 hit a rapid drawdown and a drawdown entry alert. It is in a 23.9K drawdown out of a max 39.4K drawdown based on an end of day basis. Some of the best days can follow some of the larger down days. The Diversified Portfolio 57 went on a five day +42K run from 12/9 -12/15 with the last three of those hitting equity peaks.


The Two System Portfolio NQ hit a new equity peak today.


Next week the stock market is opened for half a day on Wednesday and closed on Thursday for Christmas.


With only 7 full trading days left in 2025, there could be a lot of trading left.


Hypothetical Trading System Portfolio Signals and Results:

Two System Portfolio NQ = +$1,525

50K Portfolio = -$2,219.50 on Micros, or -$3,239 when mapping Minis to Micros

Stock Index Portfolio 18 = -$1,970

Stock Index Portfolio 37 = -$3,570

Diversified Portfolio 57 = -$17,740

Silver Portfolio = -$7,175

Recent Posts

See All
Trading System Signals on 02-06-2026

Friday's bounce in the stock market felt like a massive counter trend rally in a bear market. Bitcoin has been in a bear market. The Nasdaq 100 was down less than 7% from its recent highs but joined t

 
 
 
Trading System Signals on 02-05-2026

The Nasdaq futures traded down to yesterday's low in the overnight session, signaling the over aggressive afternoon rally during yesterday's day session. The dip buyers spent the day propping the mark

 
 
 

Comments

EXCLUSIVE MARKET AND STRATEGY UPDATES

 Capstone Trading Systems © 2025. All Rights Reserved.

​

U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Futures and options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

​

CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

bottom of page