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Trading System Signals on 12-30-2025

Tuesday’s trading was unusually choppy—made worse by a pre-holiday environment and the release of FOMC Minutes from the prior meeting. Pre-holiday price action can cut both ways. Sometimes liquidity thins out and the market becomes noisy and unforgiving; other times, holiday trade produces a steady “melt-up” trend and some of the best opportunities of the year. In real time, there’s no reliable way to know which version you’re going to get.


Metals have also surged to extreme levels. In a regime with significantly larger average daily dollar ranges, sloppy sessions tend to be especially punishing: both long and short setups can get stopped out, and trades that start well can reverse sharply before they have a chance to develop. When prices accelerate into new territory, market depth can deteriorate as liquidity providers step back, increasing the odds of sudden volatility.


We’ve also seen more frequent order rejections recently. That matters for automation. Attempting to run strategies around the clock—particularly in markets like Silver where the order stack may effectively require limit or stop-limit logic—adds meaningful implementation complexity. In fast conditions, that constraint can turn execution into the primary risk factor rather than the strategy itself.


The latest results are listed below for 12-30-2025 for the new online Portfolio Calculator that will replace the Excel Portfolio Calculator. It is a work in progress. Feedback and suggestions for this latest tool are welcome.



Hypothetical Trading System Portfolio Signals and Results for 12-30-2025:

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CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY, SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

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