We are still in research mode as we navigate these challenging markets with new levels of volatility related to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, inflation, state of the union tonight, fed speak tomorrow, along with a post pandemic world. We post some of the hypothetical signals we are tracking.
50K Portfolio, 1 Micro SI 40 (HYPOTHETICAL) = -$1100
200K Portfolio, 2 Micro SI 40 (HYPOTHETICAL) = -$2200
(Based on open positions that can change by the close)
Cobra Crude 2022 had the best signal on the day with nearly +7k per contract for a big crude oil long trade.
Most all of the loss in the Stock Index Portfolio 40 was in VSD Long - Short. This strategy can hit some major home runs but lately it has not done much and the market seems more and more choppy. The number of reversals, size of ranges, and divergent patterns continue. Even though the market was down, all 4 closed short trades were stopped out with the 5th short trade still open and at a loss. The market will make a new low and then bounce higher than the amount it made the new low.
This stubborn short pattern has continued for an extremely long time. If mean reversion exists, we are due for some massive downside in the stock market - eventually
Nasdaq is 17% off its highs.
Crude Oil hits highest level since 2014