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Live Trading System Signals on 05/19/2025

In a previous daily report, we discussed the monthly cycle of the portfolio. In April, the Stock Index Portfolio 17 went through a losing streak and drawdown from April 1 - April 17 and then went through a profitable cycle during the second half of the month for a profitable month. So far, the May cycle has been very similar to the cycle in April as we have bounced back the last couple of days after experiencing an extended losing streak in the first half of the month. We look forward to trading the rest of the month. We have endured the losing streak and are working towards another equity peak for the Stock Index Portfolio 17. I always prefer to start or increase after a drawdown.


The strategies traded on the long side today. There have been several times recently where we have been positioned to accelerate gains into a large winning day if we could get some extended follow through.


The Nasdaq 100 is up about 5000 points off the lows and less than 1000 points from all-time highs. It looks like the stock indexes could easily re-capture all time highs at this point but sometimes the market hesitates as it approaches all time highs. Right now we are back in the multi-month channel we were in for an extended period of time before it broke below the support.


Is it now time to break the upper end of the channel to take out resistance?



The One Million MNS was up +2.40% today while the 250K Portfolio was up about $6,000.


V-Reversal captured a winning trade today for the Two System Portfolio.


The hypothetical results are shown below for the portfolios with $25 round turn slippage and commission:


Stock Index Portfolio 17 (1 NQ) +$7,880.00

Stock Index Portfolio 17 (3 NQ) +$23,640.00

50K Portfolio +$2,950

EMINI NQ 2 System Portfolio +$1,975.00

EMINI NQ 3 System Portfolio II -$480.00

EMINI NQ 4 System Portfolio -$480.00

EMINI NQ 5 System Portfolio +$950.00


The Moody's credit downgrade told us what we already know since it was the last of 3 major credit rating agencies to lower the rating by one notch below the highest credit rating. S&P lowered the US credit rating in 2011 while Fitch lowered the US credit rating in 2023. The market saw it as a dip buying opportunity since it is already in the long-term habit of dismissing the idea that increasing debt will affect the stock market in the short term. Additionally, there are signs of stealth QE, with the Fed buying US Treasury bonds.

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